The world is experiencing the effects of one Nation’s global rule (the United States for the past 70 years) being threatened by an up and coming Nation (China). This circumstance is better known as the Thucydides Trap. When this has occurred in the past, 75% of the time it has resulted in war.

When Trump embarked on the “Make America Great Again” campaign, its focus was to ensure that the U.S. re-asserted and solidified its position of global economic and military dominance. This is what is behind the ongoing trade war between the two countries. This is why it is very unlikely that any meaningful and lasting trade deal will evolve from the on-again off-again trade talks between China and the U.S. This is why we are witnessing increasing tensions in the South China Sea, U.S. aggression with Venezuela and Iran (control of the global oil market), de-dollarization (reduced dollar reserves and increased trade in other currencies) by other countries such as China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Iraq, Germany, etc., and a substantially increased U.S. war chest budget.

There are a number of current ‘hot spots’ that could trigger a larger war – Pakistan and India (nuclear powers) over Kashmir, the developing conflict between Turkey and Syria, ongoing tensions between Iran and the U.S., ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, a new trade war front between the U.S. and the E.U., etc. As things escalate, and they are, the spark that ignites the powder keg can come from almost anywhere.

The first thought that may go through an individual’s mind in preparing for war on their doorstep may be “Where can I go that’s safe? That is really hard to predict. One think you can do is to make sure your passport is valid just in case there is another country you can go to that may be a safe haven. Depending on the geographic scope of the war, and this would shift as it plays out, your best bet may be to shelter-in-place. Having said that, the most dangerous places to shelter in your own country would be of course near military installations and major cities as these are targets. Have a rural destination in mind. If you don’t already live in a rural area, are not in a position to purchase a rural residence, or don’t have friends or relatives who live in a rural area that you could stay with, think about other places that are near to you where you may be able to ‘hang out’ at least temporarily. 

Other preparations you can make now are supply related – cash, food, water, medications, first aid supplies, and so on. This is important because production and supply lines are likely to be impacted and shortages would result.

Other than making some basic preparations, which we’ll elaborate on later, it is really important to stay informed. You won’t get a full picture of what is going on by just listening to mainstream media. To gain a more accurate grasp of what is transpiring, you will need to expand your information sources to include other Nations and Independent media outlets. We have a fairly broad list (with links) of these information sites on our Resources page.

For many of us living in countries that have not experienced war on their shores since WWII, it seems surreal to contemplate that could change. Difficult as that may be to digest, the danger is real and planning as best you can for your own well-being is only prudent.

 

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